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Nifty has remained above 11600 once it moved above these levels in the early part of the week. The index is expected to remain in the range while the stock specific moves are likely to come on surface. The volatility has remained low which signifies that the current trend should continue. Move above 14% in India VIX only would lead to any major profit booking in near term. The recent rollovers in Nifty are seen on rising roll cost of 0.5% which is higher than the last three series average of 0.3%. This means the market may consolidate for sometime before picking up the uptrend again.


Index Outlook


Bank Nifty : The Bank Nifty ended the August F&O series on a muted note where the private banks continued to witness profit booking whereas the fall extended in Yes Bank which slipped nearly 6% on the last day of the week. Short covering trend seen in few PSU banks which has provided cushion to the index.


Derivatives strategies



Buy Shree Cement (SHRCEM) September Future in the range of 18970-19120, Target: 21180, Stop Loss: 17770
Rationale:
The set up for Nifty remains accretive for stock specific recovery as it is expected to consolidate in the range of 11600-11800 at the start of September series. Stocks with stable rollover actions are seeing good price performance, suggesting august series price buoyancy to continue. Cement stocks are seeing good price move and at the start of the series, the long bias in the Shree Cement has seen smooth rollover to September series. As long as this long addition trend continues ,the stock is likely to head higher. Stocks is yet to witness any major delivery based action since the stock started recovering in July series, this suggest strong hands are still intact in the stock.


MORE WILL UPDATE SOON!!






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